badpiterburg
0x3d38404d98db87cb54aa0eeb8109851ff1afd4f1
- Realised P&L
- $214.96
- Volume
- $164.0k
- Markets traded
- 601
- Open portfolio
- $7.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded601
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.27at 0.011Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$84.00at 0.125Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$44.12at 0.015Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$24.20at 0.085Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$21.32at 0.003Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 02:58 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.176 | $2.64 |
| 08-07 14:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 07-22 14:12 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.60 |
| 07-07 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-07 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.97 |
| 07-07 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-07 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-07 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-03 14:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.0224285714 | $3.14 |
| 07-03 14:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.70 |
| 06-16 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 06-04 09:37 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.85 |
| 05-22 14:30 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $79.04 |
| 05-22 05:41 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.738 | $22.14 |
| 05-16 19:00 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.60 |