wthr4cast
0x3d3171c2aa20f36feb5cac0d492a8048ab9513c3
- Realised P&L
- $-31.11
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $6.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.00at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?
- +$45.00at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?
- +$45.00at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?
- +$45.00at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?
- +$24.80at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0053807919 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.02 |
| 07-16 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.30 |
| 07-13 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.52 |
| 07-12 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 07-12 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.68 |
| 07-11 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.43 |
| 07-10 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.40 |
| 07-06 17:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 7? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 16:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 7? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.24 |
| 07-06 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 7? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |