k-real
0x3d21d52d16b3776f1e594f51651faf98a7816874
- Realised P&L
- $-107.28
- Volume
- $937.54
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $44.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.075 | $44.10 | −$55.40 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.413 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.38at 0.296Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 10:52 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.169200759 | $99.50 |
| 07-25 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999965 | $25.00 |
| 07-25 05:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 08:12 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.423 | $41.02 |
| 07-19 20:22 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.2877110698 | $27.90 |
| 07-19 19:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4129311741 | $30.00 |