PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

hknne

0x3d216dfeed59778da796738bf054507e77ee1ed2

Realised P&L
$5.7k
Volume
$17.6k
Markets traded
3
Open portfolio
$301.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar32.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded3
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0620.071$226.18+$30.46
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? · Yes0.2520.190$75.27−$24.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:53Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?BUY0.2524271839$100.00
11-01 20:22Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0618716494$195.72
10-19 12:06Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.672986799$805.59
10-19 11:45Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6738455431$150.00
10-19 11:37Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6732451062$150.00
10-19 11:30Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6735809973$300.00
10-19 11:07Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6730376757$300.00
10-19 10:31Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6748070793$1000.00
10-19 10:02Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.67184047$2.0k
10-19 09:55Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6757781926$500.00
10-19 09:34Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6743017812$400.00
10-19 09:29Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6744942534$400.00
10-19 09:28Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6732061353$600.00
10-19 09:07Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6738152535$3.1k
10-19 08:58Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6656484597$400.00