hknne
0x3d216dfeed59778da796738bf054507e77ee1ed2
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $301.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar32.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.071 | $226.18 | +$30.46 |
| Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.190 | $75.27 | −$24.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.678Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:53 | Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2524271839 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 20:22 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0618716494 | $195.72 |
| 10-19 12:06 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.672986799 | $805.59 |
| 10-19 11:45 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6738455431 | $150.00 |
| 10-19 11:37 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6732451062 | $150.00 |
| 10-19 11:30 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6735809973 | $300.00 |
| 10-19 11:07 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6730376757 | $300.00 |
| 10-19 10:31 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6748070793 | $1000.00 |
| 10-19 10:02 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.67184047 | $2.0k |
| 10-19 09:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6757781926 | $500.00 |
| 10-19 09:34 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6743017812 | $400.00 |
| 10-19 09:29 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6744942534 | $400.00 |
| 10-19 09:28 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6732061353 | $600.00 |
| 10-19 09:07 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6738152535 | $3.1k |
| 10-19 08:58 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6656484597 | $400.00 |