PolyBot

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Traders

MyDadsMoney

0x3d189c88157a11cb3fd597a44b262a8e37021160

Realised P&L
$-81.8k
Volume
$1.27M
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$38.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.955$14.3k+$675.00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9380.958$7.7k+$156.00
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0220.034$4.5k+$1.5k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.945$3.8k+$460.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.895$3.6k+$460.00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8100.961$2.3k+$361.20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0260.025$1.3k$25.20
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9601.000$626.89+$24.77
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.5800.935$593.54+$225.35
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.3530.001$8.17$5.8k
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No0.3980.000$0.00$1.2k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00$4.1k
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00$1.9k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$540.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? · No0.3340.000$0.00$5.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 18:50Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.356$1.4k
04-09 14:12Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.966$27.7k
04-09 10:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?BUY0.73$174.65
04-09 10:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?BUY0.36$34.16
04-09 10:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?BUY0.36$204.94
04-08 13:58Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?BUY0.959$4.5k
04-08 13:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.22$29.51
04-08 12:38US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.003$51.00
04-08 12:33Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.12$3.0k
04-08 12:18Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.017$2.73
04-07 12:12US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?BUY0.9$6.6k
04-07 12:04US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?BUY0.9$180.00
04-07 09:18Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?BUY0.961$42.32
04-01 11:15US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.35$2.51
03-31 03:29US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.61$4.1k