MyDadsMoney
0x3d189c88157a11cb3fd597a44b262a8e37021160
- Realised P&L
- $-81.8k
- Volume
- $1.27M
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $38.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.9kat 0.577US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$11.0kat 0.866Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$10.9kat 0.753US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$5.8kat 0.875Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
- +$5.0kat 0.933Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 18:50 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.356 | $1.4k |
| 04-09 14:12 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.966 | $27.7k |
| 04-09 10:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.73 | $174.65 |
| 04-09 10:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | BUY | 0.36 | $34.16 |
| 04-09 10:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? | BUY | 0.36 | $204.94 |
| 04-08 13:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? | BUY | 0.959 | $4.5k |
| 04-08 13:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.22 | $29.51 |
| 04-08 12:38 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.003 | $51.00 |
| 04-08 12:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.0k |
| 04-08 12:18 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.017 | $2.73 |
| 04-07 12:12 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.6k |
| 04-07 12:04 | US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 04-07 09:18 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $42.32 |
| 04-01 11:15 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.51 |
| 03-31 03:29 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.61 | $4.1k |