PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3D17d5bC319547AC06D95a53a5FD1a6776308D0a-1771445762397

0x3d17d5bc319547ac06d95a53a5fd1a6776308d0a

Realised P&L
$-517.81
Volume
$22.6k
Markets traded
2,341
Open portfolio
$92.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,341
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Carlo Alberto Caniato · Marco Trungelliti0.5071.000$29.44+$14.50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? · Yes0.9100.790$7.91−$1.20
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PRIVATE (+1.5) · TheMongolz0.5601.000$5.00+$2.20
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 2 Winner · LPH Gaming0.9570.933$4.67−$0.12
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? · Yes0.4300.410$4.10−$0.20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · No0.3500.325$3.25−$0.25
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.315$3.15+$0.05
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5 · No0.7600.615$3.08−$0.72
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? · No0.5800.615$3.08+$0.17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2500.295$2.95+$0.45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 21? · No0.2210.200$2.79−$0.30
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs TheBot$ (+1.5) · Yellow Submarine0.6500.550$2.75−$0.50
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5210.510$2.55−$0.06
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.230$2.30−$0.20
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · No0.4700.455$2.27−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 16:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.1$1.00
10-16 15:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.19$1.14
10-16 15:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.33$1.65
10-16 15:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.37$1.85
10-16 15:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.17$1.02
10-16 15:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.27$1.35
10-16 15:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.37$1.85
10-16 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.12$1.08
10-16 15:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.06$1.02
10-16 15:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.52$2.60
10-16 15:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.45$2.25
10-16 15:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.31$1.55
10-16 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.05$1.00
10-16 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.07$1.05
10-16 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.05$1.00