MichaelWest1713
0x3d0ff2a973323f704469c0450dc6f0b17917af26
- Realised P&L
- $680.04
- Volume
- $228.0k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $39.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.50at 0.110Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$159.77at 0.120Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
- +$116.25at 0.623Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$110.50at 0.640Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
- +$106.59at 0.750Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 16:27 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.74 | $60.68 |
| 02-08 16:25 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.74 | $106.56 |
| 02-08 16:24 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.74 | $40.70 |
| 02-08 14:29 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $159.58 |
| 02-08 11:54 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $83.74 |
| 01-11 13:07 | Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division? | SELL | 0.31 | $118.11 |
| 01-11 13:06 | Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division? | SELL | 0.31 | $134.54 |
| 01-11 12:11 | Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division? | BUY | 0.32 | $260.80 |
| 01-11 11:08 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.29 | $18.56 |
| 01-11 10:51 | Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | SELL | 0.32 | $113.64 |
| 01-11 08:04 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025? | SELL | 0.384 | $67.58 |
| 01-11 04:34 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | SELL | 0.88 | $250.80 |
| 01-11 02:37 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $110.08 |
| 01-10 23:44 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | BUY | 0.89 | $253.65 |
| 01-10 21:18 | Celonis IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $44.85 |