halliuaw
0x3d0d316ee12e14c7b017ee59c656fad26370bda5
- Realised P&L
- $19.45
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 225
- Open portfolio
- $67.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded225
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.24at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 12?
- +$4.80at 0.880Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?
- +$4.73at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on March 11?
- +$4.56at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25?
- +$1.75at 0.650Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on October 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $66.87 |
| 10-01 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0167533653 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.93 |
| 09-29 06:50 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.93 |
| 09-28 05:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9963527941 | $67.75 |
| 09-27 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.93 |
| 09-26 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.93 |
| 09-25 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on September 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.93 |
| 09-24 04:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.93 |
| 09-23 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $66.33 |
| 09-22 06:41 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 06:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $62.94 |
| 09-21 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9969847692 | $64.80 |
| 09-20 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 09-19 05:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9988345833 | $23.97 |