pagoa
0x3d0494b74fed2a9fc9dc328c990e3fdb26a46d13
- Realised P&L
- $84.51
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $147.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 16? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $39.45 | −$0.14 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 16? · No | 0.986 | 0.957 | $38.39 | −$1.17 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16? · No | 0.978 | 0.990 | $35.01 | +$0.41 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16? · No | 0.985 | 0.994 | $34.91 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.31at 0.750Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 21?
- +$17.10at 0.745Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 26?
- +$16.98at 0.748Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 24?
- +$16.91at 0.747Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 1?
- +$16.53at 0.733Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:52 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.59 |
| 09-15 20:50 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9855401234 | $39.56 |
| 09-15 20:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16? | BUY | 0.985 | $34.61 |
| 09-15 20:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9779999999 | $34.60 |
| 07-20 21:12 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on July 21? | BUY | 0.9439999993 | $34.51 |
| 07-20 21:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.975 | $34.59 |
| 07-20 21:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.9889999884 | $34.62 |
| 06-23 21:47 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $38.00 |
| 06-23 21:44 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 24? | BUY | 0.9983245479 | $35.00 |
| 06-23 21:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 06-23 21:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 24? | BUY | 0.9949999756 | $40.00 |
| 06-22 21:25 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 23? | BUY | 0.9968607234 | $35.00 |
| 06-22 21:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $40.00 |
| 06-22 21:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 23? | BUY | 0.993 | $40.00 |
| 06-21 21:42 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 22? | BUY | 0.9896843705 | $37.00 |