PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

makjacky

0x3d0240d78e06cb1b6438f69e4dfdd7b57ffbadad

Realised P&L
$-10.0k
Volume
$219.6k
Markets traded
120
Open portfolio
$888.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded120
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? · Yes0.7630.685$201.02−$22.94
Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election? · Yes0.6340.620$172.89−$3.84
Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? · Yes0.9100.895$144.09−$2.41
Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? · Yes0.7170.660$114.04−$9.90
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? · Yes0.6690.635$103.49−$5.64
Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election? · Yes0.6980.670$83.75−$3.50
Will Victor Cumming win the 2026 Vernon mayoral election? · Yes0.6600.640$50.35−$1.57
Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election? · Yes0.6300.490$12.25−$3.50
Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? · No0.7600.700$6.30−$0.54
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance) · Man City0.8830.000$0.00−$1.0k
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · Aurora Gaming0.2600.000$0.00−$24.85
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) · Gen.G0.8800.000$0.00−$954.74
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs · Vitality0.6830.000$0.00−$720.29
Will Liberal Alliance win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$10.00
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · Team Falcons0.8800.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 17:56Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSELL0.8215860406$57.91
10-11 15:40Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.75$52.87
10-11 13:36Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava?SELL0.1210093146$8.70
10-10 16:26Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.9$40.00
10-10 16:25Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSELL0.11$11.00
10-10 14:52Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.48$48.00
10-10 14:45Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?BUY0.91$146.50
10-10 14:41Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?BUY0.67$104.74
10-10 14:41Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?BUY0.78$56.75
10-10 14:40Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?BUY0.76$6.84
10-10 14:40Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?BUY0.73$16.64
10-10 14:40Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?BUY0.72$57.60
10-10 14:40Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election?BUY0.71$49.70
10-10 14:39Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?BUY0.77$31.85
10-10 14:38Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?BUY0.63$15.75