makjacky
0x3d0240d78e06cb1b6438f69e4dfdd7b57ffbadad
- Realised P&L
- $-10.0k
- Volume
- $219.6k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $888.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$691.58at 0.785Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?
- +$579.62at 0.463Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament
- +$545.64at 0.354Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?
- +$532.20at 0.724Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$523.89at 0.820Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 17:56 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.8215860406 | $57.91 |
| 10-11 15:40 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.75 | $52.87 |
| 10-11 13:36 | Will Richard Vereš be the next Mayor of Ostrava? | SELL | 0.1210093146 | $8.70 |
| 10-10 16:26 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.9 | $40.00 |
| 10-10 16:25 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 10-10 14:52 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 10-10 14:45 | Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? | BUY | 0.91 | $146.50 |
| 10-10 14:41 | Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | BUY | 0.67 | $104.74 |
| 10-10 14:41 | Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | BUY | 0.78 | $56.75 |
| 10-10 14:40 | Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.84 |
| 10-10 14:40 | Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? | BUY | 0.73 | $16.64 |
| 10-10 14:40 | Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? | BUY | 0.72 | $57.60 |
| 10-10 14:40 | Will Patrick Johnstone win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? | BUY | 0.71 | $49.70 |
| 10-10 14:39 | Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | BUY | 0.77 | $31.85 |
| 10-10 14:38 | Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election? | BUY | 0.63 | $15.75 |