TigerPot
0x3d01171f6b6d701d740ee1df0b8e415bcb6875f1
- Realised P&L
- $-89.47
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $6.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $4.01 | +$0.01 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.036 | $1.40 | −$3.60 |
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.106 | $1.06 | −$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Prince Andrew charged by March 31? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.26at 0.600US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$0.86at 0.474Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
- +$0.38at 0.910Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
- +$-0.22at 0.860TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
- +$-0.24at 0.840US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 20:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 20:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.00 |
| 05-28 20:30 | Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 02-20 04:15 | Prince Andrew charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.00 |
| 02-20 04:14 | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 01-31 21:19 | Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more? | SELL | 0.0022332969 | $8.37 |
| 01-31 20:26 | Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more? | BUY | 0.0053360322 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 20:25 | Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | SELL | 0.41 | $7.17 |
| 01-31 20:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | SELL | 0.111 | $13.96 |
| 01-31 20:23 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | SELL | 0.0576324507 | $4.59 |
| 01-31 20:20 | Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | BUY | 0.4571428571 | $8.00 |
| 01-31 20:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.158999994 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 20:13 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.113 | $9.00 |
| 01-30 01:20 | TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.78 |
| 01-30 00:58 | Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |