PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kade384897

0x3cfda9c54252469e2ff2552ab22ea7dd61d75d35

Realised P&L
$-85.97
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$0.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chuk Anyanwu come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.2400.002$0.08$12.04
Will the announcers say "Choke" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$13.98
Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$14.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 07:01Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B?BUY0.43$8.17
07-13 07:01Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by July 31?BUY0.42$21.55
07-13 06:58Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B?BUY0.52$8.11
07-13 06:57Will Trump say "Green New Scam" in July?BUY0.42$4.20
07-12 01:34Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.275B?SELL0.2882610492$6.98
07-11 16:38Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B?SELL0.929$4.65
07-11 11:10Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?SELL0.5$0.86
07-11 11:10Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?SELL0.062$1.41
07-11 11:09Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?SELL0.21$2.10
07-11 11:09Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?SELL0.912$3.37
07-11 10:53Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?BUY0.5199999923$24.30
07-11 10:25Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.9228555022$95.80
07-11 09:05Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?SELL0.83$7.21
07-11 09:05Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?SELL0.076$4.71
07-11 09:04Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?SELL0.76$0.93