Kade384897
0x3cfda9c54252469e2ff2552ab22ea7dd61d75d35
- Realised P&L
- $-85.97
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $0.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chuk Anyanwu come in second-place on Big Brother season 28? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.002 | $0.08 | −$12.04 |
| Will the announcers say "Choke" during Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.98 |
| Will Vučić officially leave office by July 31? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.64at 0.085Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
- +$18.40at 0.140Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 12?
- +$13.69at 0.230Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
- +$4.00at 0.500No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
- +$3.60at 0.430Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 07:01 | Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B? | BUY | 0.43 | $8.17 |
| 07-13 07:01 | Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by July 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $21.55 |
| 07-13 06:58 | Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q2 orders be above $20B? | BUY | 0.52 | $8.11 |
| 07-13 06:57 | Will Trump say "Green New Scam" in July? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 07-12 01:34 | Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.275B? | SELL | 0.2882610492 | $6.98 |
| 07-11 16:38 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | SELL | 0.929 | $4.65 |
| 07-11 11:10 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.86 |
| 07-11 11:10 | Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | SELL | 0.062 | $1.41 |
| 07-11 11:09 | Will USD be at least 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 07-11 11:09 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | SELL | 0.912 | $3.37 |
| 07-11 10:53 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31? | BUY | 0.5199999923 | $24.30 |
| 07-11 10:25 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | BUY | 0.9228555022 | $95.80 |
| 07-11 09:05 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $7.21 |
| 07-11 09:05 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | SELL | 0.076 | $4.71 |
| 07-11 09:04 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.93 |