0x3cf7139d76c8704f0e5e5d08e1542d79df926f69
0x3cf7139d76c8704f0e5e5d08e1542d79df926f69
- Realised P&L
- $4.09
- Volume
- $206.98
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $3.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.335 | $1.94 | +$0.03 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.635 | $1.90 | −$0.04 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.641 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.87 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Up | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.87 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.28 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.24at 0.653Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$4.17at 0.324Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31?
- +$3.32at 0.375Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30?
- +$2.65at 0.653Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$2.41at 0.623Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:05 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.3299999879 | $1.91 |
| 11-01 03:04 | Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4599998946 | $1.92 |
| 11-01 03:03 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.6499999665 | $1.94 |
| 11-01 02:59 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4499999648 | $1.92 |
| 11-01 02:59 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4199999606 | $1.92 |
| 10-31 03:07 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.11 |
| 10-31 03:03 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.469999929 | $1.92 |
| 10-31 03:03 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.3099999659 | $1.91 |
| 10-31 02:57 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.4899999391 | $1.93 |
| 10-30 15:56 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.6899999894 | $1.95 |
| 10-30 15:56 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30? | BUY | 0.3599999698 | $1.91 |
| 10-30 15:53 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30? | BUY | 0.7599999532 | $1.95 |
| 06-30 02:28 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.219999977 | $7.28 |
| 06-26 18:09 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999273 | $1.93 |
| 06-25 11:10 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.659999991 | $2.94 |