0x3cf5165d0a192fd65b9bdf6e6fea3ffa98a74e67
0x3cf5165d0a192fd65b9bdf6e6fea3ffa98a74e67
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $19.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar56.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.018 | $19.30 | −$80.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.126Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-16 11:49 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 02-11 10:56 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat? | BUY | 0.089999997 | $25.00 |
| 02-11 10:51 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-52 House seat? | BUY | 0.0849056574 | $25.00 |
| 02-11 10:06 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million? | BUY | 0.1260174245 | $250.00 |