zhanglirong666
0x3cefddf5d4db00df9b56500242ebd0c34e46e408
- Realised P&L
- $81.27
- Volume
- $86.0k
- Markets traded
- 851
- Open portfolio
- $547.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded851
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $202.12 | −$0.71 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 20? · No | 0.985 | 0.999 | $134.45 | +$1.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $99.27 | −$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.795 | $79.50 | +$22.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $32.43 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.11at 0.129Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 13?
- +$41.45at 0.854Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 2?
- +$40.23at 0.719Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 4?
- +$30.07at 0.984Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 8?
- +$29.24at 0.995Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 10-20 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.74 |
| 10-20 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 10-20 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 10-20 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 10-20 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 10-20 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 10-20 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.9978486842 | $47.02 |
| 10-20 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-20 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-20 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.997 | $93.72 |
| 10-20 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.52 |
| 10-20 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |