PolyBot

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Traders

0x3cdf6d784c8bfa0fcc8bfe8eb1f743474bcea087

0x3cdf6d784c8bfa0fcc8bfe8eb1f743474bcea087

Realised P&L
$0.80
Volume
$25.86
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$1.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.7900.740$0.94$0.06
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.3500.315$0.90$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.2600.002$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 22:14Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-20 00:58Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-18 03:17Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-17 18:55Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-17 10:46Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-15 13:54Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-12 13:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-12 04:27Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-11 18:01Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-10 07:58Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-09 22:55Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-09 14:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.559999776$1.00