PolyBot

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Traders

0x3cd9dba2621f4b3bc11c756f820ec543460424aa

Realised P&L
$6.80
Volume
$144.36
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$23.10

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.2500.405$3.24+$1.24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5600.835$2.98+$0.98
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.2300.300$2.61+$0.61
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7600.925$2.43+$0.43
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · Yes0.4400.470$2.14+$0.14
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.2800.295$2.11+$0.11
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes0.4700.479$2.04+$0.04
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · No0.5600.560$2.00+$0.00
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · No0.5100.430$1.69$0.31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.455$1.62$0.38
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.6900.085$0.25$1.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 06:34Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-07 22:34Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
08-07 14:31Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?BUY0.4699998919$2.00
08-07 06:30Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.25$2.00
08-06 22:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-06 14:28Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-06 06:27US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-05 22:27Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-05 14:26Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.7929999481$2.00
08-04 18:26Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-04 10:24S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-04 02:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
08-03 18:22Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
08-03 10:06Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-03 02:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5599999664$2.00