0x3cd9dba2621f4b3bc11c756f820ec543460424aa
- Realised P&L
- $6.80
- Volume
- $144.36
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $23.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.405 | $3.24 | +$1.24 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.835 | $2.98 | +$0.98 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No | 0.230 | 0.300 | $2.61 | +$0.61 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.925 | $2.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.470 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.295 | $2.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.479 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · No | 0.560 | 0.560 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? · No | 0.510 | 0.430 | $1.69 | −$0.31 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.455 | $1.62 | −$0.38 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.085 | $0.25 | −$1.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.41at 0.370Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.95at 0.480Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.92at 0.360Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$1.89at 0.460Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
- +$1.34at 0.560Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:34 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 22:34 | Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 14:31 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 06:30 | Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 22:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 14:28 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 06:27 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 22:27 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7929999481 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 18:26 | Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 10:24 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 02:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 18:22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 10:06 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |