f123886
0x3cd760db91f0b6cbe979cea04cfc15c31c6fd127
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $832.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $2.0k | −$1.3k |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $652.52 | −$548.67 |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.004 | $224.83 | −$483.65 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $128.78 | −$732.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.90at 0.012Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-18.69at 0.042Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-10 06:18 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.5k |
| 12-12 17:55 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $662.13 |
| 12-10 18:02 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $216.00 |
| 12-10 00:03 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $144.00 |
| 12-09 09:51 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.98 |
| 12-09 09:20 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0391537485 | $257.00 |
| 12-09 09:16 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0148792797 | $348.39 |
| 12-09 08:51 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.01 | $131.00 |
| 12-09 06:20 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.042 | $275.68 |
| 12-09 06:11 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0096695394 | $58.61 |
| 12-09 06:02 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.007 | $300.15 |
| 12-04 22:32 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011636 | $17.45 |
| 12-04 22:29 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012691693 | $53.79 |
| 12-04 22:28 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.010912103 | $654.73 |
| 12-04 22:27 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0119791861 | $280.48 |