PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

f123886

0x3cd760db91f0b6cbe979cea04cfc15c31c6fd127

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$832.0k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.004$2.0k$1.3k
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.004$652.52$548.67
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.004$224.83$483.65
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.002$128.78$732.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-10 06:18Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.007$1.5k
12-12 17:55Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$662.13
12-10 18:02Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$216.00
12-10 00:03Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$144.00
12-09 09:51Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$0.98
12-09 09:20Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0391537485$257.00
12-09 09:16Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0148792797$348.39
12-09 08:51Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.01$131.00
12-09 06:20Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.042$275.68
12-09 06:11Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0096695394$58.61
12-09 06:02Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.007$300.15
12-04 22:32Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.011636$17.45
12-04 22:29Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.012691693$53.79
12-04 22:28Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.010912103$654.73
12-04 22:27Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0119791861$280.48