PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3Cd6A8753e303548CAc91694e12b01B1F9CaBB62-1772115778993

0x3cd6a8753e303548cac91694e12b01b1f9cabb62

Realised P&L
$-1.14
Volume
$31.6k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$13.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No0.9990.996$13.94−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30?BUY0.999$13.99
07-06 08:30Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.002$3.96
07-02 04:03Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.005$8.90
06-23 09:41Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$7.52
05-14 07:25Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.004$7.92
05-08 07:53Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$10.08
04-25 03:20Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.008$10.08
04-23 07:28Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.006$9.72
04-22 08:20Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.01$10.20
04-22 08:18Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.01$10.20
04-21 07:54Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.16
04-20 04:06Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.76