0x3Cd6A8753e303548CAc91694e12b01B1F9CaBB62-1772115778993
0x3cd6a8753e303548cac91694e12b01b1f9cabb62
- Realised P&L
- $-1.14
- Volume
- $31.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $13.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $13.94 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.987Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?
- +$0.07at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.02at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 7?
- +$0.00at 0.008Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.008Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 07-06 08:30 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.96 |
| 07-02 04:03 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $8.90 |
| 06-23 09:41 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.52 |
| 05-14 07:25 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.92 |
| 05-08 07:53 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.08 |
| 04-25 03:20 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 04-23 07:28 | Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.72 |
| 04-22 08:20 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.01 | $10.20 |
| 04-22 08:18 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.20 |
| 04-21 07:54 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.16 |
| 04-20 04:06 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.76 |