linokok
0x3cd3175a495cd13406e550eda3733b53bc33638a
- Realised P&L
- $-77.02
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 267
- Open portfolio
- $23.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded267
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.983 | $4.05 | +$0.22 |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.962 | $4.01 | +$0.18 |
| Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.945 | $3.89 | +$0.06 |
| Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.975 | $3.81 | +$0.13 |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.958 | $3.74 | +$0.07 |
| Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.931 | $3.64 | −$0.04 |
| LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs · BIG | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.96 |
| LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winner · Estral Esports | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.61 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET · Up | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.05at 0.785LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs
- +$1.67at 0.860Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?
- +$1.49at 0.864Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A
- +$1.46at 0.873LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs
- +$1.27at 0.865SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 01:40 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.85 |
| 09-20 21:35 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.17 |
| 09-20 14:35 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.56 |
| 09-20 14:15 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.39 |
| 09-19 00:35 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.75 |
| 09-17 00:35 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $2.98 |
| 09-16 11:35 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.70 |
| 09-15 19:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.70 |
| 09-13 18:55 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.75 | $2.56 |
| 09-13 17:35 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.97 | $3.31 |
| 09-13 00:35 | Will My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.68 |
| 09-13 00:35 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.68 |
| 09-13 00:35 | Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.68 |
| 09-13 00:35 | Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.83 |
| 09-13 00:35 | Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? | BUY | 0.93 | $3.83 |