PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

linokok

0x3cd3175a495cd13406e550eda3733b53bc33638a

Realised P&L
$-69.20
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
232
Open portfolio
$15.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded232
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · Yes0.9200.940$4.34+$0.09
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · Yes0.9300.925$4.23$0.02
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? · Yes0.9900.990$3.41$0.00
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.9890.995$3.41+$0.02
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs · BIG0.7300.000$0.00$6.96
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winner · Estral Esports0.7000.000$0.00$5.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET · Up0.8800.000$0.00$10.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:35Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.93$4.25
08-03 00:35Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?BUY0.99$3.42
08-03 00:35Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.92$4.25
07-31 00:35Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?BUY0.989$3.39
07-30 00:35Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?BUY0.99$3.40
07-29 11:35Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?BUY0.91$4.22
07-28 00:35Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?BUY0.988$3.36
07-27 16:20Meta (META) Up or Down on July 27?SELL0.66$3.12
07-27 15:35Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.99$3.52
07-27 15:35Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.99$3.52
07-27 15:35Meta (META) Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.93$4.39
07-27 14:20S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?SELL0.74$3.94
07-27 14:15SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?SELL0.72$3.83
07-27 11:35Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.93$4.90
07-27 06:35SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?BUY0.92$4.89