linokok
0x3cd3175a495cd13406e550eda3733b53bc33638a
- Realised P&L
- $-69.20
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 232
- Open portfolio
- $15.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded232
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.940 | $4.34 | +$0.09 |
| Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.925 | $4.23 | −$0.02 |
| Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.990 | $3.41 | −$0.00 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.995 | $3.41 | +$0.02 |
| LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs · BIG | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.96 |
| LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 1 Winner · Estral Esports | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.61 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET · Up | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.780LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs
- +$1.67at 0.860Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?
- +$1.53at 0.860Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A
- +$1.50at 0.870LoL: BOMBA Team vs Orbit Anonymo (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs
- +$1.32at 0.860SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:35 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.25 |
| 08-03 00:35 | Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.42 |
| 08-03 00:35 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.25 |
| 07-31 00:35 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $3.39 |
| 07-30 00:35 | Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.40 |
| 07-29 11:35 | Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.22 |
| 07-28 00:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | BUY | 0.988 | $3.36 |
| 07-27 16:20 | Meta (META) Up or Down on July 27? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.12 |
| 07-27 15:35 | Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.52 |
| 07-27 15:35 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.52 |
| 07-27 15:35 | Meta (META) Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.39 |
| 07-27 14:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.94 |
| 07-27 14:15 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.83 |
| 07-27 11:35 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.90 |
| 07-27 06:35 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.89 |