shdhh
0x3cd076e1b9b65b75f58ba80d7b587b2a4bd215b2
- Realised P&L
- $-30.93
- Volume
- $528.44
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $36.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.74at 0.236Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$12.02at 0.379Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?
- +$8.40at 0.580Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$5.80at 0.710Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$4.20at 0.790Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:39 | Will Dakota Fanning – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 14:39 | Will Laurie Metcalf – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.36 |
| 08-04 14:39 | Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? | SELL | 0.981 | $19.62 |
| 07-11 07:54 | Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |