cyruscn
0x3cc98016d457900d47f78320876d18eb216c185b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $59.2k
- Markets traded
- 859
- Open portfolio
- $12.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded859
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.500 | 0.500 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Lakers vs. Warriors · Lakers | 0.400 | 0.305 | $4.58 | −$1.43 |
| Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.460 | $2.88 | −$0.13 |
| Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.44at 0.036Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?
- +$99.61at 0.235Spread: United States (-1.5)
- +$97.00at 0.03076ers vs. Raptors
- +$91.65at 0.144Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?
- +$89.76at 0.28676ers vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 10:12 | Pelicans vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 10:12 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 10:11 | Nuggets vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 13:54 | Lakers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 13:53 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $8.00 |
| 07-19 21:45 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0974999885 | $7.00 |
| 07-19 21:38 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3974999952 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 21:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2949999487 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 21:14 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.1481481481 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:09 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.999 | $23.23 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.8775 | $14.55 |
| 07-19 20:57 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.0275 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 20:41 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4824999944 | $8.00 |
| 07-19 10:52 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.012 | $7.00 |