0x3C8d3507834f84CF2a029923E79B02c2D637DbA8-1771325252051
0x3cc2d4d15e01ac6d57f6128d25ce406a47c2452e
- Realised P&L
- $-51.46
- Volume
- $524.76
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $50.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.480 | $9.52 | +$0.99 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · No | 0.410 | 0.425 | $9.09 | +$0.32 |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats? · No | 0.340 | 0.310 | $7.95 | −$0.77 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? · No | 0.287 | 0.245 | $7.49 | −$1.28 |
| Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.296 | $5.55 | −$0.52 |
| Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? · No | 0.163 | 0.155 | $5.50 | −$0.28 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.335 | $5.11 | −$3.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.13at 0.387Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
- +$12.03at 0.627Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$10.68at 0.487Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$6.60at 0.607Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$4.83at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:01 | Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by November 30? | BUY | 0.4299999849 | $8.53 |
| 11-01 11:17 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999764 | $8.55 |
| 11-01 08:21 | Will Democrats win the Ohio and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.3399999977 | $8.72 |
| 11-01 06:45 | Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats? | BUY | 0.2867305515 | $8.77 |
| 11-01 04:55 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.4099999981 | $8.77 |
| 11-01 01:52 | Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.1629519036 | $5.78 |
| 10-31 13:45 | Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election? | BUY | 0.3239999983 | $6.07 |
| 10-31 13:05 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.93 |
| 10-31 13:05 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.99 |
| 08-01 11:30 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw? | SELL | 0.81 | $3.24 |
| 08-01 08:57 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 09:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949999762 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 00:17 | Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 00:17 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 00:17 | Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |