PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Abc0901

0x3cbd20ca01aa67b6bbadde7545621376da499742

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$140.3k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$10.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? · No0.5000.540$3.8k+$280.00
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5000.460$3.2k−$280.00
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · No0.9570.974$1.3k+$22.05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.9300.936$935.99+$6.00
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? · No0.9310.976$361.15+$16.44
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? · No0.9590.976$341.95+$6.06
Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · No0.7620.870$111.02+$13.74
Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1770.060$1.80−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 20:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.998$898.20
10-31 20:13Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.999$968.45
10-31 20:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.997$513.33
10-31 20:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.999$599.40
10-28 21:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.996$537.84
10-28 19:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.986$535.40
10-28 19:15Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.994$534.78
10-28 15:15Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?BUY0.19$1.90
10-28 15:15Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?BUY0.17$3.40
10-28 15:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.987$39.48
10-28 05:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.994$513.21
10-28 05:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.994$571.67
10-25 14:30Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?SELL0.951$19.02
10-17 06:40Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.988$1.2k
10-15 02:30Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.963$895.59