Abc0901
0x3cbd20ca01aa67b6bbadde7545621376da499742
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $140.3k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $10.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.540 | $3.8k | +$280.00 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.460 | $3.2k | −$280.00 |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? · No | 0.957 | 0.974 | $1.3k | +$22.05 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.936 | $935.99 | +$6.00 |
| US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026? · No | 0.931 | 0.976 | $361.15 | +$16.44 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by December 31? · No | 0.959 | 0.976 | $341.95 | +$6.06 |
| Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.762 | 0.870 | $111.02 | +$13.74 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.060 | $1.80 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.963Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$230.62at 0.980Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$149.73at 0.983Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$115.36at 0.992Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$103.76at 0.966Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $898.20 |
| 10-31 20:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $968.45 |
| 10-31 20:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $513.33 |
| 10-31 20:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $599.40 |
| 10-28 21:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $537.84 |
| 10-28 19:16 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $535.40 |
| 10-28 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $534.78 |
| 10-28 15:15 | Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 10-28 15:15 | Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 10-28 15:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $39.48 |
| 10-28 05:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $513.21 |
| 10-28 05:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $571.67 |
| 10-25 14:30 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | SELL | 0.951 | $19.02 |
| 10-17 06:40 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.2k |
| 10-15 02:30 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $895.59 |