0x3CBbb8959d024909A0DEBe1d8E593d2Be1E14a68-1765631468023
0x3cbbb8959d024909a0debe1d8e593d2be1e14a68
- Realised P&L
- $38.50
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $11.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.125 | $6.58 | −$3.42 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? · No | 0.100 | 0.040 | $4.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.045 | $0.94 | −$4.06 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.67at 0.150Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.83at 0.240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$14.23at 0.260U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
- +$6.25at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$6.17at 0.457Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:24 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 05:23 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 09:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 09:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 08:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 08:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 08:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.3619999721 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 10:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 10:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0292511644 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 10:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0289061842 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 08:32 | Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 5-10%? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 06:09 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $8.00 |
| 04-10 06:07 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.7099999254 | $8.00 |
| 01-29 22:15 | Will the US strike Iran next? | BUY | 0.0188639121 | $5.00 |
| 01-29 22:12 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |