kavefx
0x3cba2a1e210f6654853d95e5aea9946482344c19
- Realised P&L
- $-496.29
- Volume
- $39.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,501
- Open portfolio
- $24.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,501
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.32at 0.459Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$70.51at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$51.96at 0.398Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
- +$48.45at 0.322Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
- +$47.13at 0.318Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.86 |
| 11-01 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.84 |
| 11-01 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.24 |
| 11-01 17:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.02 |
| 11-01 17:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.11 |
| 11-01 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.81 |
| 11-01 15:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 11-01 15:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 14:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 12:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 07:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on November 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.01 |
| 11-01 06:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:08 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:01 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.19 |