PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

parfenenokbb

0x3cad72347b28882e3b7b559046f10f694062425a

Realised P&L
$-35.31
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$668.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1470.043$315.59$764.39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0960.035$202.36$347.63
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5 · Over0.6701.000$149.25+$49.25
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$100.00
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$15.00
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$100.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$50.00
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No0.0070.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$50.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 17:24Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0379999996$100.00
07-12 02:54Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?BUY0.001$5.00
07-12 02:48Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?BUY0.001$9.00
07-12 02:47Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?BUY0.001$1.00
07-07 17:28Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 0.5BUY0.6699999993$100.00
07-05 11:32Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?SELL0.108$46.30
07-03 11:26Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?BUY0.1179999981$50.00
07-03 11:09Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?BUY0.11$0.55
05-09 03:49Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0889999985$50.00
05-08 06:40Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0970000001$100.00
05-08 06:39Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0970000001$100.00
05-08 06:39Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0970000001$100.00
05-08 06:39Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0970000001$100.00
05-08 06:38Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0969999983$50.00
05-08 06:38Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0969999983$50.00