fishbaba
0x3cabcc4b943537911a7f32ec44aff25f395263a0
- Realised P&L
- $-41.26
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $55.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.620 | 0.625 | $19.11 | +$0.15 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros · Atlanta Braves | 0.520 | 0.525 | $13.77 | +$0.13 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.520 | 0.535 | $11.76 | +$0.33 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.500 | 0.445 | $11.25 | −$1.39 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.376 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.89 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.72 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.91 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins · Washington Nationals | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.52 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.41 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.98 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.83 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.80 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.46 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Baltimore Orioles | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.46 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.21at 0.393Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$32.44at 0.409Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$31.42at 0.502Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$28.80at 0.380Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$26.20at 0.572Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 01:39 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.65 | $28.18 |
| 09-13 00:07 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5999999954 | $26.02 |
| 09-11 13:37 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 09-11 11:11 | Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.5599999941 | $22.86 |
| 09-09 21:53 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.5599999866 | $14.99 |
| 09-07 11:14 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.5199999951 | $12.84 |
| 09-06 16:04 | Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.59 | $14.16 |
| 09-05 18:07 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.549999986 | $15.67 |
| 09-01 15:56 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.4899999943 | $30.95 |
| 08-31 05:06 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.56 | $30.95 |
| 08-27 20:42 | Houston Astros vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.53 | $5.64 |
| 08-27 02:27 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.56 | $34.30 |
| 08-23 11:14 | Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $31.44 |
| 08-22 21:08 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.53 | $5.83 |
| 08-22 01:46 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.3899999878 | $15.72 |