darkerboi
0x3ca6c7bd6634e24159a8ba8bb322f08401f062c8
- Realised P&L
- $48.67
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.642 | 0.625 | $980.84 | −$27.29 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.701 | 0.650 | $873.21 | −$68.51 |
| Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.789 | 0.870 | $391.92 | +$36.04 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.654 | 0.958 | $330.37 | +$104.76 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.823 | 0.875 | $327.83 | +$19.54 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.896 | 0.986 | $230.72 | +$21.10 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.258 | $206.16 | +$54.34 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.065 | 0.043 | $18.70 | −$9.70 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No | 0.050 | 0.014 | $5.54 | −$14.26 |
| Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.070 | 0.125 | $4.63 | +$2.04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.94at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$-3.39at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-10 15:50 | Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.70 |
| 08-08 17:00 | Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5886191024 | $35.81 |
| 08-07 16:54 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7833235472 | $168.09 |
| 08-07 03:41 | Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6971353486 | $527.89 |
| 08-07 03:41 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7061825111 | $166.76 |
| 08-07 03:41 | Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2317409935 | $146.02 |
| 08-07 03:41 | Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4938604962 | $531.87 |
| 08-06 21:16 | Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7785087719 | $88.75 |
| 08-06 21:16 | Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7538492222 | $75.60 |
| 08-06 21:16 | Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8981372549 | $183.22 |
| 08-04 17:27 | Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $76.23 |
| 05-29 20:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 05-29 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.4599009901 | $13.94 |
| 05-29 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |