PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

darkerboi

0x3ca6c7bd6634e24159a8ba8bb322f08401f062c8

Realised P&L
$48.67
Volume
$8.2k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$3.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6420.625$980.84−$27.29
Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7010.650$873.21−$68.51
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7890.870$391.92+$36.04
Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.6540.958$330.37+$104.76
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8230.875$327.83+$19.54
Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.8960.986$230.72+$21.10
Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1900.258$206.16+$54.34
Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0650.043$18.70−$9.70
Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.0500.014$5.54−$14.26
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.0700.125$4.63+$2.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 15:50Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.49$3.70
08-08 17:00Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.5886191024$35.81
08-07 16:54Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7833235472$168.09
08-07 03:41Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.6971353486$527.89
08-07 03:41Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7061825111$166.76
08-07 03:41Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.2317409935$146.02
08-07 03:41Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4938604962$531.87
08-06 21:16Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7785087719$88.75
08-06 21:16Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.7538492222$75.60
08-06 21:16Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.8981372549$183.22
08-04 17:27Multipli.fi FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.63$76.23
05-29 20:18Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSELL0.1$2.00
05-29 20:16Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.25$5.00
05-29 20:12Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETSELL0.4599009901$13.94
05-29 20:11Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.3299999812$10.00