PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SM4RTAsS

0x3ca6ade637353054d0e3f3cc4d0d72d26837a262

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$54.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$111.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? · Yes0.1930.044$111.46−$376.67
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$140.00
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66? · Yes0.3440.000$0.00−$174.74
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$91.63
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands? · No0.0450.000$0.00−$174.26
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · No0.3890.000$0.00−$389.00
Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$628.72
Will Elon register the America Party in July? · Yes0.2720.000$0.00−$3.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-29 12:33Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.21$42.00
03-29 12:13Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.2$73.89
03-29 12:12Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.19$35.68
03-22 18:17Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.18$93.57
03-22 17:40Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.17$34.00
03-20 15:49Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.17$47.36
01-09 20:05Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?SELL0.0159432678$72.74
12-14 14:14Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?BUY0.037$12.73
12-14 14:12Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?BUY0.027947855$17.50
12-13 15:52Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?BUY0.0339698964$7.28
12-08 22:43Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?BUY0.0715667526$33.04
12-07 20:59Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?BUY0.0723918854$27.08
12-05 11:55Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?BUY0.0487552469$15.94
12-05 00:11Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?BUY0.0505952381$4.25
12-05 00:04Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?BUY0.0402519274$17.65