ggdb
0x3ca26fb753df2ffd9b62833de93ed400285b7134
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $162.5k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $366.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.847 | 0.755 | $256.72 | −$31.30 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.895 | 0.930 | $83.60 | +$3.15 |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.875 | $26.25 | −$0.15 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 12? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.832Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$781.86at 0.909Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$767.97at 0.847Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$661.39at 0.895No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$263.52at 0.914Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.81 | $32.40 |
| 09-10 00:13 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $125.09 |
| 09-08 21:20 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.00 |
| 09-08 21:20 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.00 |
| 09-06 13:11 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.35 |
| 08-29 01:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.87 | $369.75 |
| 08-19 00:08 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $227.04 |
| 08-13 02:55 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $30.40 |
| 08-10 17:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 08-06 02:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.28 |
| 07-31 20:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $120.00 |
| 07-24 15:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 07-24 15:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 07-24 15:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 07-24 15:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |