Balint0311
0x3ca00d4c7506cd90c3f9486e42af87832add2c0c
- Realised P&L
- $-460.43
- Volume
- $42.9k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $35.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.26at 0.035Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?
- +$34.16at 0.055Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?
- +$31.91at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$20.66at 0.091Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?
- +$19.80at 0.060Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:38 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $18.35 |
| 09-08 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999997 | $7.00 |
| 09-08 18:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 18:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $11.58 |
| 09-08 18:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $7.00 |
| 09-08 18:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 18:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 19:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0059999985 | $4.00 |
| 09-02 19:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 18:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |