PolyBot

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Traders

Balint0311

0x3ca00d4c7506cd90c3f9486e42af87832add2c0c

Realised P&L
$-460.43
Volume
$42.9k
Markets traded
429
Open portfolio
$35.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded429
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? · Yes0.0800.145$33.26+$14.91
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2800.049$2.25−$10.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$8.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 28? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 29? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 10? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$6.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.5190.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.1410.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.5190.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00−$4.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 06:38Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?BUY0.08$18.35
09-08 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.0899999997$7.00
09-08 18:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.1$2.00
09-08 18:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.069999999$2.00
09-08 18:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSELL0.86$11.58
09-08 18:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.5199999792$7.00
09-08 18:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.02$2.00
09-08 18:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETBUY0.469999906$2.00
09-02 19:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0059999985$4.00
09-02 19:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-02 19:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
09-02 19:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.1699998861$1.00
09-02 19:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.33999983$1.00
09-02 18:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.4499997975$1.00
09-02 18:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETBUY0.01$1.00