PolyBot

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Traders

infinitevanilla

0x3c9a09d3a64bd00b2d1807104ab146c5395f6d6a

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$97.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0420.054$1.3k+$276.32
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0410.045$1.1k+$90.95
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$70.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:42Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0411707978$977.71
05-04 20:18Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0433696792$872.53
05-04 20:18Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0498561574$144.76
05-04 19:57Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?SELL0.005$2.95
04-08 16:57Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.1$70.00
04-08 16:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.65$17.56
04-08 16:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.6105923469$51.54
04-08 00:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7399999911$20.00
04-08 00:17US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.002$21.50
04-07 23:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.7699999892$65.00
04-07 23:28Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?SELL0.5785159638$63.24
04-07 23:27Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.5946108479$65.00
04-07 23:24US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.985$60.99
04-07 23:18US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.9690976083$60.00
04-07 23:10US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.089274509$63.77