infinitevanilla
0x3c9a09d3a64bd00b2d1807104ab146c5395f6d6a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $181.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.285 | $1.4k | +$513.64 |
| Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No | 0.837 | 0.780 | $1.0k | −$74.94 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$757.60at 0.728Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
- +$190.27at 0.892Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
- +$118.24at 0.540US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$41.23at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$23.97at 0.046Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 10:26 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.199365655 | $500.00 |
| 10-19 12:01 | Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.011558816 | $45.92 |
| 10-19 11:33 | Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1258525398 | $500.00 |
| 10-19 11:30 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.191741358 | $1.0k |
| 10-15 13:42 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.7463908413 | $1000.00 |
| 10-15 12:51 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.6916031765 | $1000.00 |
| 10-15 12:48 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0487730435 | $1.1k |
| 10-15 12:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.792750404 | $937.05 |
| 10-05 12:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8459999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-02 10:01 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1242629759 | $92.70 |
| 09-28 16:26 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.8370233926 | $1.1k |
| 09-28 11:08 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1826774251 | $574.77 |
| 09-20 19:28 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1284281492 | $500.00 |
| 09-20 19:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.0685510373 | $718.89 |
| 09-20 19:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1057452238 | $1.4k |