PolyBot

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Traders

infinitevanilla

0x3c9a09d3a64bd00b2d1807104ab146c5395f6d6a

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$181.8k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1810.285$1.4k+$513.64
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8370.780$1.0k−$74.94
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$70.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 10:26Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.199365655$500.00
10-19 12:01Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.011558816$45.92
10-19 11:33Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1258525398$500.00
10-19 11:30Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.191741358$1.0k
10-15 13:42Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.7463908413$1000.00
10-15 12:51Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.6916031765$1000.00
10-15 12:48Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0487730435$1.1k
10-15 12:44Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.792750404$937.05
10-05 12:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8459999999$1000.00
10-02 10:01Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.1242629759$92.70
09-28 16:26Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.8370233926$1.1k
09-28 11:08Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.1826774251$574.77
09-20 19:28Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1284281492$500.00
09-20 19:25Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.0685510373$718.89
09-20 19:25Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.1057452238$1.4k