adios007
0x3c987813b161f42ce24a66c081a476d9e3f9a91b
- Realised P&L
- $-93.14
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.001 | $0.28 | −$153.29 |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800? · No | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.11 |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.26at 0.165Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
- +$-10.51at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$-60.32at 0.117Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 18:16 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.52 |
| 09-09 18:12 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | BUY | 0.1535574814 | $9.98 |
| 09-09 18:12 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | BUY | 0.1510400999 | $2.28 |
| 09-09 18:09 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | BUY | 0.1503681057 | $13.00 |
| 09-09 18:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 18:04 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | BUY | 0.1139504559 | $23.00 |
| 09-09 18:01 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.2099999997 | $13.00 |
| 09-09 18:01 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 17:59 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | BUY | 0.0661723202 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 17:48 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800? | BUY | 0.0418665503 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 17:45 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.7288892444 | $205.00 |
| 09-07 16:14 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | BUY | 0.2912166164 | $102.49 |
| 09-07 02:06 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200? | BUY | 0.25 | $51.08 |
| 09-07 01:33 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800? | BUY | 0.0421612506 | $6.11 |