AustralianGuy
0x3c90f19458cb6eed41c37156d8b045e44fb71deb
- Realised P&L
- $49.16
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $818.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? · Yes | 0.896 | 0.953 | $818.98 | +$48.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.33at 0.932Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
- +$91.35at 0.932Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
- +$56.24at 0.669Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$50.23at 0.964Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
- +$20.28at 0.987Will Wi Seong-gon win the 2026 Jeju Province Gubernatorial Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:22 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | BUY | 0.9843348924 | $130.00 |
| 09-14 12:12 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.87 | $131.53 |
| 09-13 21:02 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6598478683 | $99.76 |
| 09-13 21:01 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | SELL | 0.93 | $101.13 |
| 09-13 18:39 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | BUY | 0.96 | $90.00 |
| 09-13 18:36 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | SELL | 0.2636684498 | $93.16 |
| 09-12 10:29 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | BUY | 0.7699999983 | $99.34 |
| 09-08 13:02 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | BUY | 0.8699999991 | $583.19 |
| 09-08 13:01 | Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland? | SELL | 0.95 | $587.66 |
| 09-07 16:49 | Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | BUY | 0.8699999994 | $63.00 |
| 09-07 16:48 | Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland? | SELL | 0.9288048118 | $23.94 |
| 09-07 16:48 | Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland? | SELL | 0.94 | $38.65 |
| 09-07 16:00 | Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland? | BUY | 0.9555218739 | $655.00 |
| 09-07 15:59 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M? | BUY | 0.7801918733 | $175.00 |
| 09-07 14:41 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.77 | $840.25 |