PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AustralianGuy

0x3c90f19458cb6eed41c37156d8b045e44fb71deb

Realised P&L
$49.16
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$818.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? · Yes0.8960.953$818.98+$48.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 12:22Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?BUY0.9843348924$130.00
09-14 12:12Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.87$131.53
09-13 21:02Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.6598478683$99.76
09-13 21:01Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?SELL0.93$101.13
09-13 18:39Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?BUY0.96$90.00
09-13 18:36Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?SELL0.2636684498$93.16
09-12 10:29Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?BUY0.7699999983$99.34
09-08 13:02Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?BUY0.8699999991$583.19
09-08 13:01Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?SELL0.95$587.66
09-07 16:49Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?BUY0.8699999994$63.00
09-07 16:48Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?SELL0.9288048118$23.94
09-07 16:48Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?SELL0.94$38.65
09-07 16:00Will Meit Fohlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gotland?BUY0.9555218739$655.00
09-07 15:59Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?BUY0.7801918733$175.00
09-07 14:41Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.77$840.25