Dynasty
0x3c87bbd3c583449dc643fbfe8e3170910e9970d5
- Realised P&L
- $-12.8k
- Volume
- $772.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,974
- Open portfolio
- $144.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,974
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US Virgin Islands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $95.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.805 | $19.43 | +$12.43 |
| Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.535 | $12.74 | +$7.74 |
| Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) · Kosovo | 0.170 | 0.120 | $7.06 | −$2.94 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.845 | $6.04 | +$4.04 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.180 | 0.055 | $3.97 | −$9.03 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty · Minnesota Lynx | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Poland win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Chile win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-30? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Latvia win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka · Ksenia Efremova | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.329Clippers vs. Grizzlies
- +$3.1kat 0.581Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-21?
- +$2.8kat 0.360Will FC Cincinnati win on 2025-10-04?
- +$2.5kat 0.170Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
- +$1.9kat 0.104Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:31 | Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 18:27 | Will US Virgin Islands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1 | $35.97 |
| 10-01 18:23 | Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 18:22 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $4.00 |
| 10-01 18:21 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 18:20 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1799999981 | $13.00 |
| 10-01 18:20 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 18:24 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 17:04 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 00:58 | Will Chile win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 00:58 | Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 00:11 | Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 00:11 | Spread: St. Vincent and the Grenadines (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 19:24 | Will Guadeloupe win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4472049662 | $16.00 |
| 09-28 18:25 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |