0x3c8055d372d4f1ea898b76723957d3e9ba453555
- Realised P&L
- $-9.99
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $2.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$0.92at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:28 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:23 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-15 12:38 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 05:41 | Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 16:13 | Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 18:42 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 08-27 05:20 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 17:34 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 08-23 16:54 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 08:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 06:25 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:07 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:28 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 14:22 | Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |