PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Stillwaterdas

0x3c78946378918af3ed12f684e14d99fd1e2a9dac

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$17.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar46.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Florida State vs. Louisville · Florida State0.3200.385$7.22+$1.22
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9981.000$3.00+$0.00
South Florida vs. UTSA · South Florida0.3000.285$2.85−$0.15
Iowa State vs. BYU · Iowa State0.2300.215$2.15−$0.15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.4040.159$1.57−$2.43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1100.032$0.57−$1.43
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No0.1900.000$0.00−$19.00
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos · Boise State Broncos0.8300.000$0.00−$5.00
Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Pistons0.6300.000$0.00−$10.00
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage · Atreides0.5200.000$0.00−$27.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 10:17Iowa State vs. BYUBUY0.23$2.30
10-04 10:17Florida State vs. LouisvilleBUY0.32$3.00
10-04 10:16Florida State vs. LouisvilleBUY0.32$3.00
10-04 10:16South Florida vs. UTSABUY0.3$3.00
09-30 12:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4039999632$4.00
07-29 10:59Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageBUY0.52$27.00
06-11 14:50Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
06-11 14:48Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.19$19.00
06-09 12:00Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 8 2026?BUY0.4499999625$3.00
06-09 11:58Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.3799999772$6.00
06-09 10:51Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?BUY0.789999986$9.00
05-26 00:59Knicks vs. CavaliersBUY0.9699999981$10.00
05-16 06:51Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 17?BUY0.9983344426$30.00
05-16 06:49Cavaliers vs. PistonsBUY0.629999988$10.00
04-11 17:53Nuggets vs. SpursBUY0.4$38.17