0x3c741b1ee991b03c74fa497e7aff75cdd42d8c60
0x3c741b1ee991b03c74fa497e7aff75cdd42d8c60
- Realised P&L
- $-0.03
- Volume
- $38.54
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $9.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.875 | $4.38 | +$0.42 |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.710 | $1.98 | +$0.28 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.342 | 0.472 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.320 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.030 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.03at 0.813Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 18:42 | Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6099999139 | $1.70 |
| 10-03 18:41 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.99 |
| 10-01 22:24 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3419999542 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 07:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-01 07:46 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | BUY | 0.8039999035 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:30 | Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:46 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0449999984 | $1.00 |