0x3c703a50172cc908fb3c634eaacb341c2eea5202
0x3c703a50172cc908fb3c634eaacb341c2eea5202
- Realised P&L
- $16.53
- Volume
- $288.34
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $3.60
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.610 | $1.91 | +$0.91 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.535 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.190 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.90at 0.247Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$5.57at 0.289Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
- +$4.47at 0.330US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$4.09at 0.350US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.39at 0.400SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:51 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:18 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:10 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:56 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:56 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:56 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:55 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 11:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:39 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:39 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:37 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:56 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |