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Traders

aford

0x3c686eeccc04002a681316a6f90c8feaf60cf860

Realised P&L
$3.69
Volume
$21.9k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$17.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 51.5 · Over0.5200.535$16.58+$0.46
Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec? · Yes0.7600.025$0.44−$12.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:35Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?BUY0.999$11.60
01-30 15:30Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?BUY0.9989999576$12.46
01-30 14:47Will Solana reach $150 in January?BUY0.999$11.72
01-30 12:01Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January?BUY0.998$35.76
12-30 08:52Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.998$11.93
12-30 00:33US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY0.997999929$7.11
12-29 23:39Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?BUY0.9979999773$24.81
12-29 22:03Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.9979999921$27.89
10-30 17:58Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$20.31
10-30 17:50Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$20.83
09-29 10:54Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?BUY0.9989999298$13.07
09-29 09:52Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.9889999999$16.17
09-29 00:50Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?BUY0.9979999569$18.02
09-28 22:43Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?BUY0.999$14.97
08-30 22:47Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?BUY0.995999962$18.01
Trader aford · PolyBot Pro