PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

CORWIL

0x3c67fb5c63f40190ddce1c49b3e1130bc07de1a8

Realised P&L
$-840.47
Volume
$158.4k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$11.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4800.740$2.6k+$896.47
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.7950.722$1.9k−$196.79
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? · Yes0.4990.515$1.5k+$47.13
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3720.610$1.3k+$502.29
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.2480.247$494.00−$1.36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1200.095$475.00−$125.00
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3900.445$445.00+$55.00
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.5200.800$400.00+$140.00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · No0.2300.055$385.01−$1.2k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0580.017$330.00−$838.68
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1240.085$262.49−$120.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5200.530$190.10+$3.59
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1820.023$172.49−$1.2k
Will AlloX FDV be above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6760.675$168.41−$0.36
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? · No0.1760.049$136.77−$358.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:31Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.247679075$495.36
10-26 08:06Will AlloX FDV be above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.33$6.60
10-20 15:53Axis Robotics FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.0782331765$141.69
10-20 15:48Axis Robotics FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.33$23.60
10-20 15:17Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1341889115$148.25
10-20 14:48Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$164.07
10-20 14:12Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$3.36
10-20 12:15Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$219.37
10-20 09:49Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.5799543195$634.79
10-20 09:43Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.15086$150.86
10-19 18:11Will AlloX FDV be above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.6764348156$249.94
10-19 16:20Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$160.20
10-19 16:13Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.47$681.09
10-19 11:56Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.47$470.00
10-18 13:58Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.15$150.00