kkskfjg
0x3c6497eaa55c5624614edfabb9ef5dc61c39f957
- Realised P&L
- $-203.18
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $68.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.675 | 0.703 | $47.17 | +$1.86 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.430 | $21.50 | −$5.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$249.07at 0.320Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$170.00at 0.150Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$93.07at 0.557Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$91.83at 0.522Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$72.30at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 23:33 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.674867312 | $45.32 |
| 09-03 06:43 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 08-04 13:04 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $73.30 |
| 07-28 12:19 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $21.49 |
| 07-28 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $15.84 |
| 07-28 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.91 |
| 07-28 12:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $31.09 |
| 07-23 13:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2044596217 | $6.81 |
| 07-23 13:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $17.99 |
| 07-23 13:14 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.66 |
| 07-21 11:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $33.28 |
| 07-21 11:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.66 |
| 06-20 05:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $21.12 |
| 06-15 13:09 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $63.44 |
| 06-08 13:45 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $61.09 |