0x3C5Dc26097f69176655FBEE0e19cF8990ba9615A-1769202315430
0x3c5dc26097f69176655fbee0e19cf8990ba9615a
- Realised P&L
- $-551.26
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $46.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$422.82at 0.557Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$184.51at 0.651Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$107.33at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$102.91at 0.477Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$36.18at 0.664Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 21:37 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.0k |
| 06-02 11:18 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6699999996 | $95.66 |
| 06-01 11:53 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $3.71 |
| 06-01 09:33 | First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.0467695475 | $25.00 |
| 05-31 22:22 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.02693535 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 22:22 | Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0269892043 | $20.00 |
| 05-31 02:45 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $108.67 |
| 05-31 02:44 | Spurs vs. Thunder | SELL | 0.02 | $12.42 |
| 05-31 02:43 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.2401958183 | $99.03 |
| 05-31 01:03 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 05-31 00:42 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4 | $120.00 |
| 05-31 00:42 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $300.00 |
| 05-31 00:26 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 00:24 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 13:04 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |