Rain2Falcons
0x3c4c4da21f702d5759d03b402193d106c80951ff
- Realised P&L
- $-162.08
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $101.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A · FURIA | 0.710 | 0.895 | $36.69 | +$7.58 |
| Counter-Strike: GODS PLAN vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A · ALKA | 0.828 | 0.795 | $28.61 | −$1.20 |
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B · BetBoom Team | 0.650 | 0.725 | $27.55 | +$2.85 |
| Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage · KUUSAMO.gg | 0.680 | 0.690 | $6.90 | +$0.10 |
| Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Nordic Valor (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Group Stage · Nordic Valor | 0.260 | 0.240 | $1.57 | −$0.13 |
| Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs · Iberian Soul | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B · Aurora Gaming | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.46at 0.580LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
- +$14.08at 0.680Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs ILLYRIANS (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs
- +$14.08at 0.680Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group B
- +$11.35at 0.833LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$10.00at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:03 | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lilmix (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage | SELL | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 21:07 | LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 10-31 20:44 | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $129.87 |
| 10-30 22:00 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.74 | $44.40 |
| 07-23 14:28 | Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | BUY | 0.45 | $12.15 |
| 07-23 14:27 | Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | BUY | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 07-23 14:27 | Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | BUY | 0.45 | $27.00 |
| 07-23 14:26 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $68.49 |
| 07-23 14:13 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.8262515936 | $56.65 |
| 06-30 16:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $1.15 |
| 06-30 16:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |