QuantLuck888
0x3c431d55638dda3aa207c254b5d928fc361f574f
- Realised P&L
- $-35.26
- Volume
- $297.57
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on September 24? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.003 | $0.01 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 23? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Down | 0.884 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$9.10at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
- +$7.75at 0.483Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
- +$3.60at 0.640Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$2.30at 0.847Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.06 |
| 09-23 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.5 | $0.08 |
| 09-22 17:33 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.79 | $2.88 |