abelmendoza22
0x3c3a1e1d357a3c84a7db1c380ff6a1e928e584ae
- Realised P&L
- $2.40
- Volume
- $15.00
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $8.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar16.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "People" be said 200+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28? · No | 0.710 | 0.720 | $3.60 | +$0.05 |
| Will Trump say "Dark Age" this week? · No | 0.550 | 0.495 | $2.47 | −$0.27 |
| Will anyone say "Kenny" 5+ times during South Park E2 S29? · No | 0.500 | 0.405 | $2.02 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.520Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his announcement?