0x3c33ee5c18a7dae8bb17c1bcde26329f0ed26ec5
- Realised P&L
- $-7.30
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.040 | $2.28 | −$0.72 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-18? · No | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.52at 0.420Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 07-18 22:54 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2649999519 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 22:53 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 22:52 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.0429999803 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 19:18 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998778 | $1.10 |
| 07-16 08:01 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.0519134616 | $3.00 |