PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

zbetts

0x3c32339db767b7753054af0732e58ae6fbd57156

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$453.7k
Markets traded
4,928
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,928
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9200.973$212.11+$11.55
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8000.875$206.50+$17.70
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes0.8700.865$165.22$0.95
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · No0.9100.969$144.31+$8.72
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8100.994$117.23+$21.65
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.8400.993$81.43+$12.55
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · No0.8901.000$79.96+$8.76
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.9330.933$72.51+$0.00
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8950.978$63.54+$5.36
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · No0.4300.330$59.40$18.00
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? · No0.8180.994$54.97+$9.71
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.8000.980$51.91+$9.51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.6500.360$43.20$34.80
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.8100.981$39.24+$6.84
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · No0.9181.000$37.98+$3.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 07:08Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5BUY0.55$9.90
08-04 07:03Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia CostoulasBUY0.38$6.08
08-04 06:55Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.61$35.99
08-04 06:51Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel RinconBUY0.35$8.05
08-04 06:50National Bank Open: Shuai Zhang vs Jelena OstapenkoBUY0.3$13.20
08-04 06:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.45$163.80
08-04 03:43National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola BartunkovaBUY0.45$21.15
08-04 03:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.196661476$5.81
08-04 03:05Plovdiv 2: Hernan Casanova vs Yannick AlexandrescouBUY0.38$5.32
08-04 03:04Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Carlo Alberto CaniatoBUY0.37$5.18
08-04 02:34Warsaw: Elsa Jacquemot vs Carol Young Suh LeeBUY0.39$12.09
08-04 00:51San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.51$19.38
08-03 23:10LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonBUY0.81$31.84
08-03 22:48LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN PlayoffsSELL0.81$73.71
08-03 22:46Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.42$15.54