0x3c2a4947ecdbffa50fb203f860e739f11a6512c2
0x3c2a4947ecdbffa50fb203f860e739f11a6512c2
- Realised P&L
- $-0.56
- Volume
- $678.00
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $157.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.03at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 2?
- +$0.32at 0.767Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?
- +$0.23at 0.282Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 3?
- +$0.13at 0.875Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 2?
- +$0.11at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2899999724 | $1.68 |
| 10-03 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.5413793103 | $3.14 |
| 10-03 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.08 |
| 10-02 23:20 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.28 |
| 10-02 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.5299999737 | $1.61 |
| 10-02 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.6999999641 | $1.95 |
| 10-02 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2? | SELL | 0.994 | $0.01 |
| 10-02 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2? | SELL | 0.995 | $1.44 |
| 10-02 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 2? | SELL | 0.997 | $0.37 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2999999872 | $4.69 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.4099999664 | $1.22 |
| 10-02 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4199999424 | $2.77 |