PolyBot

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Traders

0x3c2a4947ecdbffa50fb203f860e739f11a6512c2

0x3c2a4947ecdbffa50fb203f860e739f11a6512c2

Realised P&L
$-0.56
Volume
$678.00
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$157.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3? · Yes0.2250.355$14.18+$5.18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 3? · No0.6570.725$13.76+$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 3? · No0.7540.780$10.72+$0.36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 2? · No0.7910.998$10.64+$2.21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 3? · No0.7800.915$10.56+$1.56
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 3? · No0.6410.625$8.78−$0.22
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 2? · Yes0.2700.997$7.02+$5.12
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 3? · No0.3180.385$6.89+$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 3? · Yes0.3700.390$5.88+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 3? · No0.6580.395$5.40−$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4? · No0.5370.575$5.08+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 3? · No0.7900.840$5.06+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 3? · No0.5980.610$4.41+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 3? · No0.6300.380$3.72−$2.44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 3? · No0.7900.790$3.65+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 00:10Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 3?BUY0.2899999724$1.68
10-03 00:10Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-03 00:10Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4?BUY0.5413793103$3.14
10-03 00:10Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 3?SELL0.38$0.08
10-02 23:20Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 2?SELL0.998$4.28
10-02 23:10Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-02 23:10Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4?BUY0.5299999737$1.61
10-02 23:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 3?BUY0.6999999641$1.95
10-02 23:10Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 3?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-02 23:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?SELL0.994$0.01
10-02 22:57Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 2?SELL0.995$1.44
10-02 22:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 2?SELL0.997$0.37
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 3?BUY0.2999999872$4.69
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 4?BUY0.4099999664$1.22
10-02 22:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 3?BUY0.4199999424$2.77